“I knew that was going to happen” – experts after the event
When we look at past events everything seems obvious and clear.
We all overwrite past information that our minds see as not useful. Memories are then created to change what ended up happening to make it easier to remember what happened.
THIS IS DANGEROUS WHEN ANALYSING PEOPLES PAST BEHAVIOUR
we blame good decision-making that leading to bad results
but we praise bad decision-making that led to good results